Publications
Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
The composition and use of the Swedish car fleet: Formulation of a forecasting system
Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-4680-4795
Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute.
2005 (English)Report (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

Model-based forecasts of future emissions are important tools for finding strategies to reach the Swedish transport policy objective concerning effect on climate and air pollution. In order for the calculated emissions to reflect the actual situation, input data on kilometrage, vehicle types and vehicle ages must be representative of the region of interest. High-quality forecasts of these variables are therefore of great importance when estimating future emissions. This report proposes a forecasting model system for the compositions and use of the Swedish car fleet, based on experiences from existing models in the literature. The system operates on two levels, an aggregated (national or regional) level and a disaggregated (household or personal) level. Forecasts of the total number of cars and total kilometrage are provided from the aggregated models whereas the disaggregated models provide the distribution of cars of different types and ages and the distribution of kilometrage over the same classification of cars. These results are then combined to give the final outcomes: the number and kilometrage of cars of different types and ages.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Linköping: Statens väg- och transportforskningsinstitut, 2005. , p. 42
Series
VTI rapport, ISSN 0347-6030 ; 518
Keywords [en]
Emission, Forecast, Model, Fleet of vehicles, Car, Vehicle ownership, Choice, Mathematical model
Research subject
10 Road: Transport, society, policy and planning, 15 Road: Environment
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:vti:diva-6386OAI: oai:DiVA.org:vti-6386DiVA, id: diva2:675263
Available from: 2013-12-03 Created: 2013-12-03 Last updated: 2025-09-11Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

fulltext(773 kB)337 downloads
File information
File name FULLTEXT01.pdfFile size 773 kBChecksum SHA-512
7645b7a8d6522d3d5bc9e6166906fd631b1aeb32e1232d52bad12be3ab118a589cca2a948568220d2e4c6dd9e09c81ca756afaac36a54224f1b24d85bd2751d5
Type fulltextMimetype application/pdf

Authority records

Forsman, ÅsaEngström, Inger

Search in DiVA

By author/editor
Forsman, ÅsaEngström, Inger
By organisation
Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar
Total: 338 downloads
The number of downloads is the sum of all downloads of full texts. It may include eg previous versions that are now no longer available

urn-nbn

Altmetric score

urn-nbn
Total: 463 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf