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Modelling travel mode choice on combined data sources using machine learning methods
Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute, Society, environment and transport, Traffic analysis and logistics. Department of Science and Technology (ITN), Linköping University, Norrköping, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-4926-1434
Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute, Society, environment and transport, Traffic analysis and logistics.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-3738-9318
Department of Science and Technology (ITN), Linköping University, Norrköping, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-6405-5914
Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute, Society, environment and transport, Transport economics. Department of Management and Engineering (IEI), Linköping University, Linköping, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9235-0232
2025 (English)In: Transportation Research Procedia / [ed] Rosalia Camporeale; Chunli Zhao; Aleksandra Colovic; Luigi Pio Prencipe, Elsevier, 2025, Vol. 86, p. 88-95Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Long-distance travel demand models have traditionally been estimated based only on national travel surveys (NTS). However, low response rate is an increasing issue in NTS data, calling into question the representativeness of the survey sample. In this paper we investigate which machine learning method (if any) is a suitable approach to model transportation mode choice for long-distance travel based on NTS data complemented by mobile phone network data. We find artificial neural network (ANN) to be the best candidate, and that for an ANN to be feasible as a mode choice model intended for policy development, the network architecture should fulfill a set of requirements: a utility function inspired network architecture, correct handling of non-available alternatives, and constraining the weights connected to the travel cost inputs to be the same for all modes. Furthermore, complementing NTS data with mobile phone network data provides more stable and feasible valuations of travel time compared to using NTS data only.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2025. Vol. 86, p. 88-95
Series
Transportation Research Procedia, ISSN 2352-1457, E-ISSN 2352-1465
Keywords [en]
Artificial neural network, Data combination, Machine learning, Mobile phone network data, Mode choice model, Transport demand forecasts, Travel time valuation
National Category
Transport Systems and Logistics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:vti:diva-22056DOI: 10.1016/j.trpro.2025.04.012Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105007078425OAI: oai:DiVA.org:vti-22056DiVA, id: diva2:1969724
Conference
26th EURO Working Group on Transportation, EWGT 2024, Lund, Sweden, September 4-6, 2024.
Available from: 2025-06-16 Created: 2025-06-16 Last updated: 2025-10-10Bibliographically approved

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Andersson, AngelicaKristoffersson, IdaBörjesson, Maria

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