Publications
Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
Modelling the impact of climate change on maize yield in Victoria Nile Sub-basin, Uganda
Abou Bekr Belkaid Univ Tlemcen, Pan African Univ, Inst Water & Energy Sci, BP 119, Tilimsen 13000, Algeria.;Busitema Univ, Tororo 236, Uganda..
Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute, Society, environment and transport, Environment.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-5358-2217
2022 (English)In: Arabian Journal of Geosciences, ISSN 1866-7511, E-ISSN 1866-7538, Vol. 15, no 1, article id 40Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Agriculture is the backbone of Uganda's economy, with about 24.9% contribution to the gross domestic product (GDP) as per the Uganda National Household Survey 2016/17. Agricultural productivity (yield per hectare) is still low due to the high dependence on rain-fed subsistence farming. Climate change is expected to further reduce the yield per hectare. Therefore, this study aims to evaluate the potential impact of climate change on maize yield in the Victoria Nile Sub-basin using the AquaCrop model. It further assesses the possible adaptation measures to climate change. The Hadley Centre Global Environmental Model version 2-Earth System (HadGEM2-ES) data downloaded from the Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) was used to simulate maize yield in the near future (2021-2040), mid future (2041-2070) and late future (2071-2099). Results show that maize yield is likely to reduce by as high as 1-10%, 2-42% and 1-39% in the near, mid and late futures, respectively, depending on the agro-ecological zone. This decline in maize yield can have a significant impact on regional food security as well as socio-economic well-being since maize is a staple crop. The study also shows that improving soil fertility has no significant impact on maize yield under climate change. However, a combined application of supplementary irrigation and shifting the planting dates is a promising strategy to maintain food security and socio-economic development. This study presents important findings and adaptation strategies that policymakers and other stakeholders such as farmers can implement to abate the effects of climate change on crop production.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
SPRINGER HEIDELBERG , 2022. Vol. 15, no 1, article id 40
National Category
Agricultural Science
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:vti:diva-17648DOI: 10.1007/s12517-021-09309-zISI: 000734333700001OAI: oai:DiVA.org:vti-17648DiVA, id: diva2:1627563
Available from: 2022-01-13 Created: 2022-01-13 Last updated: 2025-09-11Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

fulltext(2653 kB)140 downloads
File information
File name FULLTEXT01.pdfFile size 2653 kBChecksum SHA-512
79b02920c38569b0f407db7f93fdf89de9910a35fa1d164699c02a14f400760f2beb86d25a8edb57c8d0a201139a6d4a567cde83f9699ada7e6b56f014a9a100
Type fulltextMimetype application/pdf

Other links

Publisher's full text

Authority records

Mourad, Khaldoon

Search in DiVA

By author/editor
Mourad, Khaldoon
By organisation
Environment
In the same journal
Arabian Journal of Geosciences
Agricultural Science

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar
Total: 141 downloads
The number of downloads is the sum of all downloads of full texts. It may include eg previous versions that are now no longer available

doi
urn-nbn

Altmetric score

doi
urn-nbn
Total: 223 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf