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Where will self-driving vehicles take us?: Scenarios for the development of automated vehicles with Sweden as a case study
Integrated Transport Research Lab, KTH Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-2011-6273
Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute, Society, environment and transport, Traffic analysis and logistics.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-3738-9318
Department of Transport Science, KTH Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9507-9185
2019 (English)In: Autonomous Vehicles and Future Mobility, Elsevier , 2019, p. 17-32Chapter in book (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

The development of Self-Driving Vehicles (SDVs) is fast, and SDVs are predicted to have the potential to change mobility, human life, and society. Several positive and negative effects of SDVs are listed in the literature, but as the effects can be both counteracting and reinforcing depending on actions taken by different stakeholders, it is difficult to predict the outcome. In this chapter a scenario planning method is used to identify certain and uncertain trends, and to draw four different but plausible future scenarios for the development of SDVs. The four scenarios create a platform for policy discussions, development of regulations, and decision-making of different stakeholders. Most importantly, it shows that the development of SDVs depends on decisions made today.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier , 2019. p. 17-32
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Other Social Sciences not elsewhere specified
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URN: urn:nbn:se:vti:diva-15655DOI: 10.1016/B978-0-12-817696-2.00002-0Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85093490314ISBN: 9780128176962 (print)OAI: oai:DiVA.org:vti-15655DiVA, id: diva2:1503189
Available from: 2020-11-23 Created: 2020-11-23 Last updated: 2025-09-11Bibliographically approved

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Kristoffersson, Ida

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Pernestål, AnnaKristoffersson, IdaMattsson, Lars-Göran
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CiteExportLink to record
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Citation style
  • apa
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  • Other style
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  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
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  • asciidoc
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