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Are the rich reaching saturation: Income and fuel price elasticities of car ownership and use
Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute, Society, environment and transport, Transport economics.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-4815-5258
Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute, Society, environment and transport, Transport economics. Economics, Department of Management and Engineering, Linköping University, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9235-0232
2026 (English)In: Economics of Transportation, ISSN 2212-0122, E-ISSN 2212-0130, Vol. 45, article id 100448Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

We estimate the income and fuel price elasticities of household vehicle kilometres travelled (VKT) and car ownership. To model the VKT, we apply a discrete-continuous model on registrAy micro panel data, covering all Swedish households from 1999 to 2018. We model two joint choices: car ownership and VKT conditional on car ownership, where the elasticity of VKT from these two choices are obtained by using the Two-Part model. We account for unobserved household effects using a correlated random effects specification and take household adjustments into account by including lagged values of fuel prices and income. Our preferred model yields a long-run income elasticity of 0.45 for private VKT, where close to two-thirds of the effect comes from the income elasticity of car ownership. The long-run fuel price elasticity of private VKT is −1.03, with the response in VKT among car owners being larger than the response in car ownership.  

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2026. Vol. 45, article id 100448
Keywords [en]
Discrete-continuous model, Car use, Car ownership, Income elasticity, Fuel price elasticity
National Category
Economics Transport Systems and Logistics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:vti:diva-22416DOI: 10.1016/j.ecotra.2026.100448ISI: 001681910200001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105028580428OAI: oai:DiVA.org:vti-22416DiVA, id: diva2:2036166
Funder
Swedish Transport AdministrationAvailable from: 2026-02-06 Created: 2026-02-06 Last updated: 2026-02-23Bibliographically approved

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Berry, CarlBörjesson, Maria

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CiteExportLink to record
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Citation style
  • apa
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