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Representing travel cost variation in large-scale models of long-distance passenger transport
Statens väg- och transportforskningsinstitut, Samhälle, miljö och transporter, SAMT, Trafikanalys och logistik, TAL.ORCID-id: 0000-0002-3738-9318
University of Leeds, UK.
TPMod, Sweden.
WSP Advisory, Sweden.
2022 (engelsk)Inngår i: Transportation letters, ISSN 1942-7867, E-ISSN 1942-7875, nr 7, s. 778-786Artikkel i tidsskrift (Fagfellevurdert) Published
Abstract [en]

In this paper, we show that cost variation for long-distance travel is often substantial and we discuss why it is likely to increase further in the future. Thus, the current practice in large-scale models, to set one single travel cost for a combination of origin, destination, mode, and purpose, has potential for improvement. To tackle this issue, we develop ways of accounting for cost variation in model estimation and forecasting. For public transport, two approaches are proposed. The first method focusses on improving the average fare, whereas the second approach incorporates a submodel for choice of fare alternative within a demand model structure. Only the second method is consistent with random utility theory. For car, cost variation is related to long run decisions such as car type choice. Handling car cost variation therefore implies considering car type choice. This long-term choice can be considered using a car fleet model. © 2021 The Author(s). Published by Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group.

sted, utgiver, år, opplag, sider
Taylor & Francis, 2022. nr 7, s. 778-786
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URN: urn:nbn:se:vti:diva-16851DOI: 10.1080/19427867.2021.1944965Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85108827170OAI: oai:DiVA.org:vti-16851DiVA, id: diva2:1586669
Tilgjengelig fra: 2021-08-20 Laget: 2021-08-20 Sist oppdatert: 2025-09-11bibliografisk kontrollert

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