This paper presents estimation results for models of transport chain and shipment size choice, as well as an implementation of the estimated disaggregate models (for two commodity groups), in the context of the national freight transport model for Sweden. The new model is a disaggregate and stochastic (logit) model, whereas the existing Swedish national model is deterministic. One advantage of the new approach is that it bases the underlying behavior of shippers on a stronger empirical foundation (that is micro-data from the Swedish Commodity Flow Survey, CFS). Another advantage is that it overcomes a well-known disadvantage of deterministic models that lead to implausibly large responses to changes in scenario or policy variables. Although estimation and implementation of aggregate stochastic models were done before, in the context of a national freight transport forecasting model, we think this is the first implementation of disaggregate freight transport chain and shipment size models estimated on choice data for individual shipments, certainly in Europe. We carried out a number of model runs with both versions of the implemented model to compare elasticities and found that transport cost and time elasticities for tonne-km are smaller (in absolute values) in the disaggregate stochastic model than in their deterministic counterparts.

We examine the effect of weather, accessibility and built-environment characteristics on overall travel experience as well as the experience with the latest trips. These are factors that are often disregarded in the travel satisfaction literature even though they are believed to largely influence the first mile of the door-to-door trip. This study fills a research gap in investigating all these factors by using, amongst other, a relatively large travel satisfaction survey from years 2009 to 2015 and by focusing on urban and peri-urban geographical contexts, the city and county of Stockholm (Sweden), respectively. The ordered logit model results show that county dwellers living close to a metro station and in well linked-to-all areas report higher overall travel satisfaction evaluations. In addition, precipitation and ground covered with snow have a negative influence on travel satisfaction. Our findings indicate that built-environment characteristics exert a rather weak influence on the travel experience, especially in the peri-urban context. However, some aspects such as living in areas with medium densities, low income and with high safety perceptions around public transport stations are associated with higher satisfaction levels. In turn, areas with single land uses are found to have lower travel satisfactions. These results are important for public transport planners and designers in devising measures to prevent and mitigate the negative outcome of some weather conditions and to conceive better designed transit oriented developments.

Methods for economic assessment are often used in the rail sector to evaluate large infrastructure investments such as new high-speed lines. With larger networks and ageing infrastructure, these methods can also be used for planning maintenance. In this paper, we focus on the newly introduced concept of maintenance windows in Sweden. These are pre-allocated slots in the train timetable dedicated to performing, among others, periodic/frequent maintenance activities. To justify the pre-allocation of such windows, this study presents a method to find minimal utilization rates depending on window designs and traffic situations. Using a cost-benefit approach, the windows are assessed using a total social cost including work costs, loss in traffic production and reliability gains in future traffic. Based on a case study from the Southern main line in Sweden, we study the minimal utilization rate in different test scenarios, i.e., night or day shifts, asset degradation functions and designs of maintenance windows. The results show that lower utilization rates (4-42%) can be accepted during low-volume traffic or for partial closures, while higher utilization rates (47-83%) are required for full closures during high-volume traffic. Whether the rates are measured as the share of used window time or the share of utilized windows is less important, especially when higher utilization is required. Sensitivity analyses of asset knowledge indicate that parameters such as asset degradation function and minimum asset quality (and to a lesser extent traffic volume, discount rate and failure likelihood) can have a substantial effect on the minimum required utilization rates.

Methods for economic assessment, e.g., cost-benefit analysis, are often used in the rail sector to evaluate large infrastructure investments such as building new high-speed railway lines. With larger railway networks and aging infrastructure, these methods can also be used for maintenance planning decisions. In this paper, we focus on basic maintenance and the newly introduced concept of maintenance windows in Sweden. These are pre-allocated slots in the annual train timetable dedicated to performing, among others, periodic/frequent maintenance activities such as inspections, maintenance and repairs. To justify the pre-allocation of such windows, this study presents a method to find minimal utilization rates depending on window designs and traffic situations. Using a cost-benefit approach, the maintenance windows are assessed using a total social cost including maintenance work costs, loss in traffic production and reliability gains in future traffic. Based on a case study from the Southern main line in Sweden, we study the minimal utilization rate in different test scenarios, i.e., night or day shifts, asset degradation functions and designs of maintenance windows. The results show that lower utilization rates (5-50%) can be accepted during low-volume traffic or for partial closures, while higher utilization rates (50-90%) are required for full closures during high-volume traffic. Whether the rates are measured as share of used window time or share of utilized windows is less important, especially when higher utilization is required.

The transport sector needs to become sustainable and public transport has an important role to play. Green public procurement has proven to have great potential to influence the transition to a sustainable public transport sector. Sweden is a good example of a country that uses public procurement in the public transport sector to a large extent and has at the same time come far in the transition to renewable fuel. The aim of this study is to examine what role public transport authorities (PTAs) can have in supporting more environmentally sustainable public transport through public procurement. This was done by a content analysis regarding the expressions of environmental requirements historically, over a ten-year period, in tender documents in Sweden, followed by a workshop where the implications of the findings and future tender processes were discussed with relevant actors. The results showed that all the environmental requirements have become stricter during the studied period, but indicate a tendency for higher use of environmental requirements in tendering of larger areas as well as in tendering of public transport within cities. Specifically, for requirements for fuel, the same tenders also use specific requirements to a higher extent. However, the subsequent workshop discussions indicated that the use of specific requirements is one reason for disagreement among involved actors. Overall, this study of the Swedish public transport case showed that PTAs have a large potential to support more environmentally sustainable solutions using environmental requirements in public procurement.

Currently, there is a great need for new methods to collect travel data. Traditional methods have considerable drawbacks and, at the same time, the models used to analyse the transport system require more and more detailed and high-quality data. Since most smartphones are equipped with various sensors that can be used to determine the location of the smartphone, and since smartphones are integrated in the daily life of most people, they provide an unprecedented opportunity for large-scale travel data collection. This method has a great potential to solve the problems related to the estimation of distance/travel time, geographic coding of departure/destination locations and forgotten trips and it will also provide a more detailed and extensive data set.

In a recently completed research project the feasibility of replacing or complementing the traditional travel diary, with a suite of tools that make use of smartphone collected travel data has been evaluated. The advantages and disadvantages of the traditional method and the proposed method were studied. For a fair comparison, both methods have been tested in the same city, at the same time, and with the same respondents. To achieve the objectives of the project, MEILI, a system that consists of a smartphone application for capturing the movement of users and a web application for allowing the users to annotate their movement, has been deployed. In total 2142 trips were collected and annotated by 171 users. 51 of the users annotated trips covering more than a week. The main findings of the paper are that smartphone based data collection is feasible, that the algorithms to save battery work well and that trips of the same respondent vary considerably depending on day of the week.

This text is the result of the Thematic Group Traffic Management of the ECTRI – European Conference of Transport Research Institutes. As a position paper, it states the challenges that the European Research Agenda will have to face if the following goals for a future transportation system are considered: • User-aware mobility • Zero accidents and zero emissions • Minimum space, time, energy & costs for transport It describes in a concise manner the research approaches needed to achieve the realization of these goals.

Reliable forecasting models are needed to achieve the climate related goals in the face of increasing transport demand. Such models can predict the long-term behavioural response to policy interventions, including infrastructure investments, and thus provide valuable pre-dictions for decision makers. Contemporary forecasting models are mainly based on national travel surveys. Unfortunately, the response rates of such surveys have steadily declined, implying that the respondents become less representative of the whole population. A particular weakness is that it is likely that respondents with a high valuation of time are less willing to respond to surveys (because they have less time available for such), and therefore there is a high chance that they are underrepresented among the respondents. The valuation of time plays an important role for the cost benefit analyses of public policies including transport investments, and there is no reliable way of controlling for this uneven sampling of time preferences. Fortunately, there is simultaneously an increase in the number of signals sent between mobile phones and network antennae, and research has now reached the point where it is possible to determine not only the travel destination but also the travel mode based on mobile phone network antennae connections. The aim of this thesis is to investigate if and how mobile phone network data can be used to estimate transportation mode choice demand models that can be used for forecasting and planning. Key challenges with using this data source in the context of mode choice models are identified and met. The identified challenges include uncertainty in the choice variable, the difficulty to distinguish car and bus trips, and the lack of information about the trip purpose. In the first paper we propose three possible model formulations and analyse how the uncertainty in the choice outcome variable would play a role in the different model formulations. We also conclude that it is indeed possible to estimate mode choice demand models based on mobile phone network data, with good results in terms of behavioural interpretability and significance. In the second paper we estimate models using a nested logit structure to account for the difficulty in separating bus and car, and a latent class model specification to meet the challenge of having an unknown trip purpose. 

In this paper we use a nested latent class logit specification to define and estimate a large-scale mode choice demand forecasting model. We estimate this model based on mobile phone network data translated to roughly 100 000 long-distance trips within Sweden, achieving convergence of the model and credible parameter estimates. We develop methods to address two problems stemming from the nature of this data: the difficulties of distinguishing bus trips from car trips (since they share the same infrastructure) and distinguishing business from private trips (since trip purpose is unknown). To address the first issue, we estimate a nested logit model with an artificial nest that accounts for the differences in utility between bus and car. To address the latter issue, we estimate a latent class model, identifying classes of trips interpreted as private and business trips. Addressing these two issues substantially improves model fit. 

In this paper we develop two methods for the use of mobile phone data to support the estimation of long-distance mode choice models. Both methods are based on logit formulations in which we define likelihood functions and use maximum likelihood estimation. Mobile phone data consists of information about a sequence of antennae that have detected each phone, so the mode choice is not actually observed. In the first trip-based method, the mode of each trip is inferred by a separate procedure, and the estimation process is then straightforward. However, since it is not always possible to determine the mode choice with certainty (although it is possible in the majority of cases), this method might give biased results. In our second antenna-based method we therefore base the likelihood function on the sequences of antennae that have detected the phones. The estimation aims at finding a parameter vector in the mode choice model that would explain the observed sequences best. The main challenge with the antenna-based method is the need for detailed resolution of the available data. In this paper we show the derivation of the two methods, that they coincide in case of certainty about the chosen mode and discuss the validity of assumptions and their advantages and disadvantages. Furthermore, we apply the first trip-based method to empirical data and compare the results of two different ways of implementing it. © 2021 The Authors

To fulfil the global sustainable development goals (SDGs), achieving sustainable development is becoming urgent, not least in the transportation sector. In response to this, the sustainability framework Sustainability National Road Administrations (SUNRA) was developed to contribute to improving the sustainability performance of national road administrations across Europe. In the present study, the framework has been tested, applied and further developed to be applicable for target setting and follow-up at the project level at both the Swedish Transport Administration (STA) and at municipal levels. The aim was a framework relevant for investment, re-investments, maintenance and operation projects and also to make it more user applicable. The study also investigated how the framework can contribute to sustainability, identified drivers and barriers for applying the framework and examined whether the framework can be applied and adapted to projects of different complexities. The adaptations and developments were done in collaboration between researchers and practitioners. The results show that the framework could easily be used and adapted for investment, re-investment, maintenance and operation projects in the planning stage, as well as for small municipal establishments, construction or reconstruction of residential areas and frequent maintenance. The framework contributes to increased awareness on sustainability, and it provides a common structure and transparency on how infrastructure project goals/targets are set and fulfilled. The framework can also be applied to follow the fulfilment of the goals/targets and thereby adapt the project to better fulfil the goals. Identified barriers include the lack of obligations and lack of experience in using sustainability frameworks.

Abstract Automated vehicles are likely to have significant impacts on the transport system such as increased road capacity, more productive/enjoyable time spent travelling in a car, and increased vehicle kilometres travelled. However, there is a great risk that automated driving may negatively impact the environment if adequate policies are not put in place. This chapter examines the effects of driverless vehicles and the types of policies required to attain sustainable implementation of the technology. To understand the effects on a systemic level, and to understand the needs and impacts of policies, the dynamics must be understood. Therefore, a causal loop diagram (CLD) is developed and analysed. One important insight is that the effects of driverless vehicles are mainly on the vehicular level (e.g., the reduced number of accidents per vehicle). These effects can be cancelled out on a systemic level (e.g., due to increased vehicle-kilometre travelled (VKT) that increases total number of accidents). The marginal costs of road transport are central to both freight and passenger transport. Automation will reduce marginal costs and shift the equilibrium in the transport system towards a state with higher VKT. This will lead to greater energy consumption and higher emissions. To attain sustainability goals, there might be a need to balance this reduction of marginal costs by using policy instruments. In the work, CLDs is experienced to be a useful tool to support the collaboration between experts from different fields in the dialogue about policies.

Att ha tillgång till transportsystemet är extra viktig, men även utmanande för personer med synnedsättningar. Resande med synnedsättningar är vanligtvis mer beroende av sin hörsel och av god förutsägbarhet under resans samtliga moment. I en framtid kan detta förväntas bli en ännu större utmaning med fler autonoma och elektrifierade fordon i transportsystemet.

Syftet med föreliggande studie var att fånga synnedsattas behov och önskningar kring stöd för att tillgängliggöra resande med framtidens autonoma bussar. Fokus har varit på digitala lösningar och där två systerprojekt har använts som ingång. Det ena projektet handlar om Augmented Reality (förstärkt verklighet - AR) baserade lösningar i kollektivtrafiken, det andra är mobilitetsplattformen i Linköping kallad Ridethefuture, i vilken 2 mindre autonoma elektrifierade bussar har använts för medåkande med syftet att fånga synnedsattas reflektioner.

Studien omfattar en inledande kunskapsgenomgång där såväl en benchmarking som en litteraturgenomgång gjorts. Vidare har en inledande fokusgrupp med fokus på synnedsattas resande generellt och deras förväntningar på framtidens autonoma system genomförts och därefter medåkandeobservationer med synnedsatta. En kompletterade uppgiftsanalys genomfördes i syfte att öka kunskapen om vilka behov resande har i allmänhet.

Almost all studies of sleepy driving are carried out in driving simulators and with monotonous road conditions (no interaction with other cars). The present study investigated indicators of sleepy driving in a more challenging scenario after a night awake. 17 participants drove a high fidelity moving base driving simulator experiment while sleepiness was monitored physiologically and behaviourally. Short periods of situations of free driving (no other vehicles) alternated with short periods of following another vehicle (car following) with and without the possibility to overtake. The result showed that a night of prior sleep loss increased sleepiness levels at the wheel (eye closure duration and lateral variability) compared to after a night of normal sleep. Blink duration while overtaking was significantly lower compared to the other situations, it was at the same level as after night sleep. Speed when passing a stopped school bus was not significantly affected by sleepiness. However the warning caused a more rapid reduction of speed. In conclusion, a moderately challenging driving contest did not affect sleepiness indicators, but a very challenging one did so (overtaking). This suggests that it is important to monitor the driving situation in field operational tests of sleepy driving.

One critical situation when a driver needs to have a high degree of awareness, to avoid critical situations or crashes, is when passing a school bus, stopped for boarding or de-boarding of children. With the help of an experiment in VTI’s moving base driving simulator, a scenario, using in-vehicle information before the bus was reached, was tested. The aim was to enhance drivers’ perception, in order to reduce the speed of vehicles passing by the stopped bus. Both alert and sleep deprived drivers were tested.

The results showed a significant speed reduction thanks to the information given beforehand. Sleep deprivation did not seem to have an impact on speed reduction. This suggests that the warning signals are seen and followed, regardless the drivers’ state of alertness. Thus, it seems likely that this type of information may be useful as an Intelligent Transport System (ITS), to provide driver support about upcoming hazards. One step towards further research in this direction is performed within the EU project SAFEWAY2SCHOOL, the main objectives of which are presented at the end of this chapter.

Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS) offer the possibility of helping drivers to fulfill their driving tasks. Despite different encouraging factors, automated driving raise some concerns such as possible loss of situation awareness, overreliance on automation and system failure. This paper aims to investigate the effects of AV on driver’s behavior and traffic performance. A literature review was conducted to examine the AV effects on driver’s behavior. Findings from the literature survey reveal that conventional vehicles (CV), i.e. human driven, which are driving close to a platoon of AV with short THW, tend to reduce their THW and spend more time under their critical THW. Additionally, driving highly AV reduce situation awareness and can intensify driver drowsiness, exclusively in light traffic.

In order to investigate the influences of AV on traffic performance, a simulation case study consisting of a 100% AV scenario and a 100% CV scenario was performed using microscopic traffic simulation. Outputs of this simulation study reveal that the positive effects of AV on roads are especially highlighted when the network is crowded (e.g. peak hours). This can definitely count as a constructive point for the future of road networks with higher demands. In details, average density of autobahn segment remarkably improved by 8.09% during p.m. peak hours in the AV scenario, while the average travel speed enhanced relatively by 8.48%. As a consequent, the average travel time improved by 9.00% in the AV scenario.

The outcome of this study jointly with the previous driving simulator studies illustrates a successful practice of microscopic traffic simulation to investigate the effects of AV. However, further development of the microscopic traffic simulation models are required and further investigations of mixed traffic situation with AV and CV need to be conducted.

Den sista delen av godsets transportkedja är oftast den mest ineffektiva, mest kostsamma och mest utsläppsintensiva delen av kedjan. Fyllnadsgraderna är låga, kostnaden för den sista kilometern kan i vissa fall utgöra upp till en tredjedel av den totala kostnaden och de negativa effekterna av transporter, utsläpp och olyckor, blir extra påfallande i miljöer där människor vistas. Att använda sig av mindre fordon som är bättre anpassade för uppdraget är något vi ämnar undersöka vidare i denna rapport. En enklare analys av livscykeldata för godscyklar visar att de är många gånger mer miljövänliga än skåpbilar i framdrift. Det finns också flertalet vinstdrivande företag i Sverige som levererar paket med godscyklar. Många av de stora transport- och logistikföretagen har redan börjat använda sig av dessa typer av fordon. Det faktum att godscyklar oftast kan hålla samma snitthastighet som skåpbilar under dagen, gör affärsmodellen intressant. Anledningen till det är att lastcyklar kan komma närmare kunden, inte behöver cirkulera för att hitta parkering, kan ta genvägar och använda sig av både cykelnätet och vägnätet. Så under en del förhållanden kan man därför ersätta en skåpbil med en godscykel.

Det är också intressant att studera den standardiseringsprocess som påbörjats vad gäller valet av lastbärare. På senare år har vi sett en utveckling där man försöker göra överföringen mellan olika fordon så smidig som möjligt, exempelvis med en standardiserad flyttbar och stapelbar mini-container. Detta skulle kunna effektivisera hanteringen avsevärt, då man kan gå från att hantera lastbärare snarare än många små paket.

This paper presents a model-based approach to road traffic safety developed within the EU funded project IN-SAFETY. Several existing models, both micro- and macro-models, will be adapted and used to assess safety related effects of ITS measures. Examples of such measures include but are not limited to ADAS and IVIS. While the micro-models will determine the individual vehicles' safety related behaviour, the macro-models will find out about the network wide aspects. Various models will be extended to cope with the ITS measures envisaged and then applied to relevant safety critical conditions. Major input will be available from the different test sites of the project, which are spread to cover the most significant aspects within the EU road environment.

In this chapter, the application of macro and micro traffic simulation modelling for the needs of road safety assessment and planning is dealt. The overall concept of traffic simulation modelling regarding safety is presented, together with a series of macro and micro simulation models (namely RuTSim, S-Paramics, SATURN and VISSIM) that are widely used and have been specifically applied for the needs of IN-SAFETY project. ITS and ADAS related scenarios defined within IN-SAFETY, aiming to enhance the road safety level, have been tested through specially developed applications of these models and their results indicate the influence of the use of such technologies, as well as the effectiveness of the selected models in simulating and evaluating their effects. Future enhancement in the models will provide the possibility of further using them in the context of road safety and the involvement of innovative technologies.

This paper gives an overview of the Swedish trunk road system and present objectives, guidelines concerning capacity and level of service procedures to assess these issues in the feasibility and design procedure are also described.

An important goal in Sweden is investments and speed limit changes over a 10 year time scale to decrease the C02-exposure. The long term speed limit overview with the objective to require median barriers at speed limits over 80 kph with results so far is presented. By now over 50 % of the former traffic load over 80 kph is decreased to 80 kph. Some 2,700 km have been retrofitted to 2+1 median barrier roads with speed limit mainly 100 kph.

An overview is also given of the updated Swedish Highway Capacity Manual with new chapters especially on jam densities, entry lanes, weaving areas and traffic signals. Some interesting research projects are also briefly covered. These are 2+1 median barrier roads, capacities at motorway work zones, speed harmonisation with variable speed limits on motorways to increase capacity, ramp metering and Drive Me (autonomous driving full scale tests).

The first Swedish 2+1 median barrier road was opened in 1998. The concept was to retrofit the standard existing two-lane 13 m paved width cross-section at 90 and 110 kph posted speed limit without widening. This design has one continuous lane in each direction, a middle lane changing direction every one to three kilometres with a median barrier separating the two traffic directions. Today over 2 700 km 2+1 median barrier roads are opened for traffic. AADT’s vary from some 3 000 to 20 000 with an average just below 10 000 nowadays normally with 100 kph.

The concept has lately been enhanced also to cover the existing 9 m paved width cross-section. The design concept is the same from a driver’s viewpoint, one continuous lane in each direction with a middle lane changing direction and a separating median barrier. This is created by introducing a continuous median barrier and adding overtaking lanes within an overtaking strategy. The differences are the existence of 1+1-sections, less overtaking opportunities and a slightly more narrow cross-section. Some 15 projects are opened. The purpose of this paper is to summarize present knowledge on level-of-service issues as they are presented in Swedish design and assessment guidelines and to give an overview of field measurements and theoretical analytical and simulation studies supporting the recommendations.

The dissertation deals with the so-called Third-Party logistics Provider (TPLP) with the purpose of explaining strategic positions of the emerging TPLPs. The development of Third-Party Logistics (TPL) can be said to have occurred during the last 15 - 20 years and have created a new kind of service, i.e. the management and execution of logistics process. These services have created a new market and consequently a new type of service provider is emerging. These service providers predominantly originate from traditional offerings in the logistics area, e.g. transportation and warehousing activities. However, previous works on TPL have neglected the provider's situation especially by not explicitly recognizing the shifts from single activity services to comprehensive and coordinated multiple activity offerings and from a functional support orientation to a process approach.

Strategic positioning is an established perspective on strategy, but the use varies considerably. In this dissertation strategic positioning is connected to how TPLPs create value for their clients which links positioning to skills or capabilities. Furthermore, the position is regarded as a result of the fit between activities, resources and strategic positioning. This theoretical frame of reference, based on strategic positioning and value creation for service organizations, is new in the literature on TPL. The general methodological approach of the study is alternation between empirical findings and theoretical analyses in a stepwise pattern. Since the organizations studied had not been theoretically analyzed before, empirical observations were instrumental in describing the novel phenomena. The empirical foundation of the dissertation is two studies executed during 1996-7 and 1998-9. The first study contains 21 Australian, European, and North-American TPLPs. The second study is based on 53 European TPL buyers. Both studies used a combination of questionnaires and interviews for collecting data of both quantitative and qualitative character. The empirical analysis is best described as a qualitative approach supported by statistical techniques whenever possible.

The dissertation presents a comprehensive empirical description of the current status and anticipated change of both the TPLPs and their customers. The main contribution of this dissertation is however: tools for describing TPLPs, a model of the value system that connects providers and buyers of TPL, and a position model for TPLPs.

The purpose of the study is to: 1. develop a model for studying the strategies of third-party providers, and 2. preparing empirically supported hypotheses regarding the TPL providers strategies. Empirical data has been gathered from 21 Australian, European, and North- American targeted TPL providers, all recognized as large, innovative or influential industry representatives.

The thesis propose an empirically supported model for studying positions or for positioning of TPL providers, based on both served markets and internal industry variables. Further, the TPL providers expected development, the values delivered to clients, and activity and capability for supply chain integration are explored.

The results of the study indicate that the TPL providers in general have similar strategies, and expect to develop in similar ways. The main values provided to clients are Cost and the possibility to Focus on Core, and the main mechanisms for creating that value are Operative Competence and Systems Development.

Den här rapporten är en del i ett forskningsprojekt där vi studerar det svenska anslutningsresandet. Här beskrivs anslutningsresor med data från svenska nationella resvaneundersökningen. Ungefär 35 procent av alla långväga (mer än 10 mil) resor sker med ett färdmedel som förutsätter en resa till en station eller flygplats. De flesta långväga resor har en mycket enkel struktur med korta anslutningsresor till huvudfärdmedlet. Det är ovanligt med fler färdmedel under en resa förutom huvudfärdmedel, anslutande och avslutande färdmedel. Anslutningsfärdmedel och huvudfärdmedel är enkelt identifierbara i data. Det råder också en stor symmetri mellan utresa och återresa avseende både huvudfärdmedel och färdmedel för anslutningsresa. För flygresor utgör anslutningsresan ofta under 10 % av resans totala längd men 30% till över 50 % av reseuppoffringen. Anslutningsresan utgör således en signifikant del av den totala reseuppoffringen både i tid och pengar för flyg medan restiden och biljettkostnaden för tåg är en mer komplett beskrivning av hela resan. Resor med tåg startar och slutar ofta i stadsmiljö med närhet till många målpunkter och relativt stort utbud av kollektivtrafik. Det råder därmed en asymmetri i beskrivningen av reseuppoffringen mellan flyg och tåg när man inte tar hänsyn till anslutningsresan.

Roundabouts have become a more common type of intersection in Sweden over the last 30 years. In order to evaluate the roundabout level-of-service both analytical models and simulation models are being used. Analytical traffic models for intersections, such as the Swedish capacity model Capcal, has difficulties estimating the level-of-service of a roundabout if there are pedestrians and cyclists at crossings located close to the roundabout. It is well known that a crossing located after a roundabout exit can cause an up-stream blocking effect that affects the performance of the roundabout. But how the upstream blocking effect depends on the different flows of vehicles and pedestrians is not known. In this paper an existing analytical model by Rodegerdts and Blackwelder has been investigated and compared to simulations in VISSIM and measurements from Swedish roundabouts. The purpose of this investigation is to examine if the model by Rodegerdts and Blackwelder is suitable for implementing into existing analytical models such as Capcal. The results show that the model by Rodegerdts and Blackwelder can estimate if a capacity loss will occur, but the magnitude of this loss is more difficult to evaluate. The conclusion and recommendation is that the model by Rodegerdts and Blackwelder should be implemented into the Swedish capacity model Capcal. The model by Rodegerdts and Blackwelder is to be used as a warning system if the results in Capcal are too uncertain to use for analysis of the roundabout performance.

The national model for freight transportation in Sweden is called Samgods. The purpose of the model is to provide a tool for forecasting and planning of the transport system. Samgods can be used in policy analysis such as studying the effects of a tax change or a change in transport regulation etc. The aim of this report is to give an overview of how the Swedish transport and logistics system is represented in the Samgods model. Samgods consists of several parts, where the logistics module is the core of the model system. This report describes the setup data needed to run version 1.1 of the Samgods model.

The 35 commodity groups used in the model are based on the 24 groups in the European NST/R- nomenclature. Some commodities are further divided due to their importance for Swedish freight transport and varying logistic properties. Transport demand is described with commodity specific demand matrices for 464 administrative zones inside and outside Sweden. The commodity specific P, C or W zones are split into sub-cells that include firms. The method used to generate the firm to firm flows is to divide the firms at the origin zone and destination zone into three categories according to size.

A range of vehicle and vessel types are used to reflect scale advantages in transporting operations, including loading and unloading. The Samgods model uses six vehicle types for road, 10 for rail, 22 for sea and one for air. In total, 98 pre-defined transport chains are used.

Infrastructure networks are used to generate the level of service (LOS)-matrix data for each vehicle/vessel type providing transport time and, distance and network related infrastructure charges. The logistics costs consist of transport costs (vehicle type specific link costs and node costs) and non-transport costs (commodity specific order costs, storage costs and capital costs in inventory as well as capital costs in transit). For each commodity it is assumed that either the overall logistics costs are optimized or the transport costs are minimized. The model generates a huge amount of output at different levels. All the output files generated are described in the last chapter of this report.

Trafikverkets hastighetsflödessamband (VQ-samband) redovisar reshastighet på väglänkar för fordonstyperna personbil (pb), lastbil/buss utan släp (lbu) och lastbilar med släp (lbs) som funktion av totalt trafikflöde. VQ-sambanden delas in i olika klasser baserat på vägtyp, hastighetsgräns etc. och sambanden uppdateras kontinuerligt (vanligtvis i fyraårsintervaller) baserat på nya mätdata.

Vid den senaste revideringen (2017) visade det sig vara svårt att utifrån tillgänglig information i Nationella vägdatabasen (NVDB) bestämma lämplig VQ-klass. Detta eftersom data i NVDB huvudsak beskriver hur vägen ser ut och inte hur den fungerar ur ett trafikföringsperspektiv. För vissa vägtyper är den nuvarande klassindelningen inte längre lämplig. Exempelvis, för tvåfältsvägar tillämpar Trafikverket idag en uppdelning baserat på vägbredd, men skillnaden i hastighet mellan olika vägbredder verkar mer troligt bero på vilken typ av trafik (kortväga/långväga) som trafikerar breda respektive normalbreda vägar.

Syftet med detta uppdrag var att genomföra en genomlysning av nuvarande indelning av vägklasser och föreslå en ny vägklassindelning för tvåfältsvägar. I nuläget tillämpas följande förklaringsvariabler för hastighetssamband på tvåfältsvägar:

• Hastighetsgräns
• Vägbredd
• Siktklass

Först genomfördes en översyn av lämpliga datakällor att inkludera vid bedömning av lämpliga förklaringsvariabler. Vid den senaste revideringen av VQ-sambanden tillämpades enbart data från Trafikverkets trafikmätningssystem (TMS) som synkats mot NVDB. Kompletterande mätningar i form av Trafikverkets mätningar för beräkning av hastighetsindex samt synkning mot databasen Pavement Management Systems (PMSv3) bör kunna tillföra relevant information.

Baserat på erfarenhet och tillgängliga datakällor, gjordes en översyn av vilka faktorer som antas påverka trafikföringen på tvåfältsvägar. En bruttolista med faktorer identifierades, vilka senare användes som grund för att skapa en enkät som distribuerades till en referensgrupp, beståendes av sakkunniga inom branschen. Referensgruppen bedömde vilka faktorer som ansågs påverka trafikföringen på tvåfältsvägar i störst utsträckning, samt bidrog med direkta förslag till lämpliga förklaringsvariabler.Baserat på resultaten från enkätundersökningen identifierades ett antal förslag på lämpliga förklaringsvariabler, samt hur de skulle kunna extraheras från tillgängliga data. Följande förklaringsvariabler föreslås för hastighetsflödessamband på tvåfältsvägar:

• Hastighetsgräns
• Linjeföring
• Trafiktyp
• Vägutformning
• Trafiksammansättning

Förslagsvis utvärderas ett antal givna kombinationer av dessa förklaringsvariabler baserat på spridningen i datamaterialet för den aktuella grupperingen av förklaringsvariabler. Regressionsanalys kan tillämpas för att bedöma lämplig gruppering.

Vägsträckan av E20 mellan Ribbingsberg och Vara ska byggas om från tvåfältig landsväg med hastighetsgräns 80 km/h till mötesfri landsväg med hastighetsgräns 100 kilometer i timmen. Den mötesfria utformningen kommer att innebära uteslutande 1+1- samt 2+2-sträckor som varierar i längd mellan 1,6 till 3,2 kilometer. I nuläget trafikeras vägen av en hög andel tung trafik och för att undersöka hur den planerade utformningen kommer att påverka framkomligheten på vägen, har en simuleringsstudie genomförts. Simuleringar har genomförts för en trafiksituation motsvarande den tvåhundrade mest belastade timmen på året (vardagsmaxtimmen) med förväntad trafikefterfrågan motsvarande år 2015, 2025 och 2045. Analyserna är baserade på simuleringar med VTI:s simuleringsmodell för landsvägstrafik, RuTSim (Rural road Traffic Simulator). Simuleringsmodellen är kalibrerad med hjälp av trafikmätningar från den berörda sträckan samt anslutande mötesfri vägsträcka mellan Vara och Skara med befintlig hastighetsgräns 100 kilometer i timmen.

Resultaten från simuleringar med flödesnivåer och trafiksammansättning för år 2045, visar att det mötesfria alternativet genererar reshastigheter för personbilar till som lägst 94 kilometer i timmen. Känslighetsanalys av begränsad omkörningsbenägenhet indikerar att reshastigheten för personbilar kan variera till som lägst 92 kilometer i timmen. Det framkomlighetskriterium som Trafikverket vanligtvis använder, att reshastigheten inte bör understiga 10 kilometer i timmen av hastighetsgränsen (100 kilometer i timmen) är alltså uppfyllt för den föreslagna mötesfria utformningen. Ytterligare framkomlighetsmått som redovisas är andel hindrade fordon vid början och slutet på varje tvåfältssträcka. Dessa resultat förstärker den totala bilden av att det mötesfria vägutformningsalternativet innebär tillräckligt god framkomlighet. Detta trots att utformningen i samtliga fall överskrider maximal rekommenderad tvåfältslängd enligt Vägar och gators utformning (VGU).

Framkomligheten på mötesseparerade vägar med växelvis omkörningsfält (så kallade 2+1-vägar) beror på hur stor del av vägens sträckning som har omkörningsfält, vilket brukar benämnas som andelen omkörbar längd. För att utnyttja vägen på ett effektivt sätt bör utformningen och lokaliseringen av omkörningsfälten upprättas för att i största möjliga mån undvika onödig köbildning och fördröjning. Olika utformningsalternativ för omkörningsfälten har olika fördelar. Kortare omkörningsfält innebär begränsade tidsfönster för köavveckling, men medför samtidigt snabba upprepningar av omkörningstillfällen. Längre omkörningssträckor innebär bättre möjlighet till omkörning av flera fordon vid ett och samma tillfälle, men medför samtidigt ökade enfältslängder vilket ökar risken för upphinnanden.

Denna rapport presenterar en trafiksimuleringsstudie av hur olika längder för omkörningsfälten påverkar framkomligheten. Resultaten från simuleringsstudien indikerar att omkörningsfält med längder mellan 1 050 och 1 400 meter innebär kortast restid. Skillnaderna är dock små (~0,4 sekunder per kilometer) och dessutom inte statistiskt signifikanta. Nyttan med att utforma 2+1-vägar med optimala längder för omkörningsfälten för att maximera framkomlighet kan således ifrågasättas. Baserat på resultaten är det dock rimligt att ifrågasätta konceptet med att bygga mycket långa omkörningsfält (som den nuvarande rekommendationen i Trafikverkets riktlinjer för vägars- och gators utformning (VGU) till viss del antyder). Det är tydligt att risken för upphinnanden på enfältssträckorna är mycket stora, vilket påverkar den totala restiden.

Syftet med föreliggande handbok är att beskriva hur trafiksimulering kananvändas som en alternativ metod eller komplement till analytiska metoderför att bestämma kapacitet och framkomlighet. Liksom metodbeskrivningarnai TRV2013/64343 är beskrivningarna avsedda att kunna användas för att medhjälp av trafiksimulering uppskatta effekterna av en given utformning isamband med planering, konsekvensanalys, projektering och drift avvägtrafikanläggningar. Simulering kan användas som ett komplement till deanalytiska metoderna, eller som ersättning i fall som inte täcks av dessametoder. Härigenom minskas risken för onödiga kostnader förorsakade avsåväl över- som underkapacitet.

With climate change, weather has emerged as an important theme in transport research and planning. Although recent studies demonstrate profound weather effects on mobility in single case study areas, international cross-comparisons are required to reveal how effects differ between cities with different transport and climate regimes. This paper provides an international cross-comparison of the simultaneous effects of weather on destination choices, distances, trip chaining, and transport modes in the urban regions of Utrecht (Netherlands), Oslo and Stavanger (Norway), and Stockholm (Sweden). Hereto, regional subsamples of national travel survey data were linked to meteorological records for the three respective countries and analysed in generalised Structural Equation Models. Our findings generally indicate that light, calm, dry and warm atmospheric conditions may positively affect cycling and the selection of outdoor leisure destinations, while cold and to a lesser extent wet and windy weather conditions reduce cycling and enhance car use and travel optimising strategies like trip chaining, to reduce weather exposures. A positive effect of air temperature on cycling flattens out above 20–25 °C in most of our study areas, but hot weather does not seem to reduce cycling strongly. However, our findings also show considerable regional differences in the effects of weather on mobility. Both general effects and differences are interpreted in relation to geographical context, transport and land use, climate conditions, cultures, habits and adaptations and are discussed to formulate policies to mitigate active transport mode users’ exposures to adverse weather and make walking and cycling (even more) year-round modes.

Time-of-day dependent cordon-based congestion charging systems were introduced in Stockholm in 2006, and in Gothenburg in 2013. The Stockholm system was significantly extended in 2016, and the peak charge has been increased in the two cities. This paper analyses the effects of the first decade with the Swedish congestion charges, specifically effects of the system updates, and draws policy lessons for the years to come. Should we introduce congestion charges in more cities? Should we extend the systems that we have? We synthesize previous research findings and focus on the long-term effects that have varied over time including the recent years: the price elasticities on the traffic volume across the cordon, the revenue and system operating cost, the public and political support, and consequences for the transport planning process. We also explore the effects on peak and off-peak, and different types of traffic (trucks, company cars and private passenger cars), because of access to novel data that make this analysis possible. We find that the price elasticities have increased over time in Stockholm, but decreased in Gothenburg. We find that the public support increased in the two cities after their introduction until the systems were revised; since then, the public support has declined in both cities. We find that the price elasticity was substantially lower when the charging levels were increased, and when the Stockholm system was extended, than when the charges were first introduced, a likely reason being that the most price-sensitive traffic was already priced off-the road at the introduction.

Sweden has been a front runner in vertical separation. We use data from the business long-distance corridor in Sweden to calibrate and define a demand and supply model. We simulate how the profit, welfare, fares, frequencies, modal shares and train size depend on the level of the track charges. We simulate the welfare optimal track charges, given different levels of congestion on the track, hence using the charges as a pricing instrument to allocate the train slots efficiently. We find that increases in charges have a limited impact on fares but larger impacts on the frequency. When the length of the trains can be extended and when the crowding penalty is high, the impact of higher track charges on the frequencies is larger. Higher track charges increase the length of the trains if possible. The intermodal competition from road and air has a significant impact on rail fares. © 2021 The Authors

This paper describes the implementation of a model of a driver into a computerised numerical simulation. The model is developed to capture the essential characteristics and common aspects of cognition and behaviour of a human being in control of a “vehicle” in different surface transport systems, namely trains, cars and ships. The main functions of the simulation are discussed as well as the experiments carried out in different types of driving simulators to support the estimation of the parameters utilised in the numerical simulation. The validation processes carried out in the rail and maritime domains are also discussed together with a critical review of capacities and limitations of the proposed approach.

The purpose of this study is to deepen the understanding of what are the underlying reasons for the increasing cost of public transport in general and bus services in particular in a Swedish context. Data were collected through in-depth interviews with managers at the bus operators as well as the authority organizations. This paper contributes by identifying nine categories that can be the dominating factors behind the increasing costs of public bus services in Sweden.

The identified categories of cost drivers are; of traffic appearance (peak times), greening of buses, age requirements, the contract period, the accessibility customization, special requirements on buses, collective agreements (working time regulation), tendering and contracting process, and finally, counterproductive political governance. It can be concluded that many of the cost drivers originate from the circumstances of the process of public procurement, such as different demands for different regions in Sweden as well as the trade-off between the bus operators' wishes for higher flexibility in the contracts and the traffic authorities' fear of more risks and thereby higher bids in the end.

Public procurement is widely used in order to incorporate competition into public services. Competition in procurement often leads to efficiency but the process can also raise some problems. While providing the procurement documents you do not know who will be your upcoming partner. Another aspect is how flexibility can be managed in contract design while maintaining a high service quality. The aim of this study is twofold. Firstly, the aim is to investigate how flexibility has been expressed and historically described in bus tendering documents. Secondly, to explore how the actors define or describe flexibility and its importance in tendering. Data was collected from ten years of tendering documents in the bus sector in Sweden and from interviews and a workshop. The results showed that flexibility in tendering documents has been and still is low for the operators. However, the actors wish for more flexibility and new forms of contracts can make it easier to include higher degrees of flexibility in future contracts. The paper contributes to the ongoing discussion about how to design contracts and to manage flexibility. The study has potential to create knowledge and contribute to better decision making for future procurement of bus transport.

Varje år tar VTI fram en trafikbeskrivning som omfattar en historisk del samt en prognosdel över det framtida årliga trafikarbetet. Termen trafikarbete betecknar den totala omfattningen av trafik inom ett visst område och under en viss tid. Baserat på resultatet från VTI:s trafikmodell görs sedan en förenklad beskrivning i emissionsberäkningsverktyget HBEFA. Denna trafikbeskrivning ligger sedan till grund för den årliga beräkningen av trafikens emissioner (utsläpp) som sker på Trafikverkets uppdrag. Syftet med projektet som redovisas i VTI notat 30-2013 har varit att genomföra en allmän metodöversyn av detta arbete. Genomgången visar bland annat att en beräkningsmodell ständigt kan utvecklas och förbättras. Nya data har blivit tillgängliga genom mätaravläsningar för körsträckor och bättre underlag finns nu för att ta hänsyn till att tunga lastbilar i betydande utsträckning används för utlandstransporter. En funktionsanpassning som visar körsträcka som funktion av fordonsålder har tagits fram, vilket visar på en god överensstämmelse med de uppmätta körsträckorna för fordon upp till och med ca 25 till 30 år. En känslighetsanalys av att göra olika antaganden vad gäller körsträcka och åldersfördelning visar effekten på mängd bränsleförbrukning och reglerade emissioner på total nivå för olika fordonskategorier.

Trafikverket har konstaterat att användningen av modeller för mikrosimulering av bränsleförbrukning och emissioner i Sverige behöver utvecklas. Projektet som redovisas i detta notat är en utvärdering av PHEM-modellen för att undersöka förutsättningar, möjligheter och hinder att använda den till att ta fram underlag till modeller som används i Trafikverkets planeringsarbete. Följande aspekter har utvärderats: Licensavtal (kostnader, rättigheter, ägandefrågor), Användarvänlighet, Innehåll och beräkningsmöjligheter, Anpassnings- och utvecklingsmöjligheter samt Validering. Dessutom har simuleringstester genomförts för beräkning av bränsleförbrukning samt emissioner av kväveoxider, kvävemonoxid, kolmonoxid, kolväten, partikelmassa samt partikelantal, dels för vägar med olika siktklasser, dels för stopptillägg. PHEM-modellen är relativt användarvänlig och med stora möjligheter att anpassa beräkningarna. Detta gör modellen komplex, vilket gör att forskarna rekommenderar att starta användandet av PHEM med en kortare introduktionskurs, även för vana emissionsmodellerare. En slutsats av utvärderingen är en rekommendation att PHEM används för Trafikverkets modellarbete. Den databas som ligger till grund för motormapparna uppdateras kontinuerligt vilket ger mer tillförlitlighet i emissionsberäkningarna. Möjligheten ökar även till en bättre samstämmighet i beräkningar av avgasemissionerna med de olika modeller som Trafikverket förespråkar, vilket är en positiv utveckling. Det finns också en del utvecklingsmöjligheter som bör beaktas.

In Sweden, rural roads with separated oncoming lanes are becomingincreasingly important due to their superior safety properties.The level-of-service of such roads may however be reduced since traffic is restricted by the barrier between the oncoming lanes.This level-of-service impact can be evaluated through traffic microsimulation.Such simulation based assessments of rural highways require simulation models capable of modeling rural road traffic.This paper presents a simulation study of different rural road designs with separated oncoming lanes using a rural road traffic simulationmodel. The presentation illustrates the use of simulationfor rural highways and the result of the study indicates that oncominglane separation is a competitive alternative despite slightlevel-of-service reductions compared to undivided two-lane highways.

Detta VTI notat presenterar en beräkningsmetod för beräkning av förväntad kölängd och restidsfördröjning för enfältiga vägavsnitt utan omkörningsmöjligheter. Metoden utvecklades 2001 och presenterades i ett PM. Bakgrunden till modellutvecklingen var att dåvarande Vägverket (nu Trafikverket) planerade att införa så kallade 1+1-vägar, det vill säga, vägar med längre delsträckor utan omkörningsmöjlighet. Den utvecklade beräkningsmetoden har sedermera visat sig värdefull även vid framkomlighetsberäkningar för 2+1-vägar med varierande andel tvåfältsavsnitt och har använts vid framtagning av hastighetsflödessamband till Trafikverkets ”Effektsamband för vägtransportsystemet”. Metoden använder avsnittslängd, trafikflöde samt medelhastighet och standardavvikelse som indata. Metoden är uppdelad på beräkning av effekter på grund av enstaka långsamtgående fordon samt effekter vid ”normal” hastighetsfördelning. Då mätdata saknades vid modellutvecklingen jämfördes metoden med simuleringskörningar med den mikroskopiska trafiksimuleringsmodellen AIMSUN. Resultaten visar på en relativt god korrelation men generellt så ger den analytiska metoden cirka 1,2 procent lägre restidsfördröjning. En stor del av skillnaden mellan modellerna vid måttliga flöden bör kunna härledas till det stokastiska inslaget i simuleringen. Det bör även påpekas att varken den analytiska modellen eller trafiksimuleringsmodellen har kalibrerats och validerats mot verkliga data för denna typ av väg. Skillnaden mellan modellerna innebär således inte att den analytiska modellen självklart är den som avviker från verkligheten.

Regeringen har uppdragit åt Statens väg- och transportforskningsinstitut (VTI) att ”bidra till kunskapsuppbyggnaden kring en snabb, smart och samhällsekonomiskt effektiv elektrifiering av transportsektorn” (regeringsuppdrag I2021/02212). Den här rapporten redovisar den delen av uppdraget som handlar om att översiktligt analysera samspelet mellan energisystemet och transportsystemet, vilka eventuella hinder som finns och vilka lösningar som kan bidra till en ökad elektrifiering av transporter. I denna del av uppdraget ingår att identifiera goda exempel från andra länder. 

Transport och energi har alltid varit tätt sammanlänkade sektorer. Det som håller på att förändras är inte bara kopplingen mellan sektorerna, utan också deras natur; medan transportsektorn historiskt sett främst har konsumerat oljeprodukter, kommer globala klimatåtgärder att driva transportsektorn mot en starkare koppling till elkraft. Vidare handlar omställningen från oljebaserade transporter till elbaserade transporter lika mycket om sektorskoppling inom energisektorn som mellan energi- och transportsystem. Dessa förändringar kräver en omställning av både transport- och energisystemen. Rapporten beskriver implikationer av transportsektors omställning på energisystemet och olika aktörers roller i omställningen för att påskynda elektrifieringen. Dessutom lyfts goda exempel från fyra andra länder; Kina, USA, Norge och Nederländerna. Vid omställningen finns några policyaspekter som bedöms viktiga att ta hänsyn till såsom teknik- och beteendeförändring, förändringar inom sektorerna och överlappande politiska mål.

Denna rapport presenterar fyra delstudier som genomfördes med syftet att utvärdera hur elektroniskareklamskyltar (ERS) påverkar trafiksäkerheten.Delstudie 1 är en litteraturstudie som undersökte påverkan av ERS på trafiksäkerhet. Slutsatsen var attrörliga bilder samt placering av skyltarna har en stor inverkan på förarens beteende och att i mörker och iogynnsamma väderförhållanden kan ljusbilden upplevas som bländande vilket försvårar körningenspeciellt för äldre förare.Den andra och tredje delstudien jämförde trafiken före och efter installation av ERS. En jämförelse avhastighet och olyckor gjordes. Inga skillnader i trafikflöde och medelhastighet som beror på ERS kundepåvisas. Sammantaget fanns inget i det studerade olycksmaterialet som tyder på att olycksutfalletpåverkats av ERS.Den fjärde delstudien är en fältstudie som undersöker förares beteende i verklig miljö när de passerarERS på motorvägen. Mätningar av visuellt beteende samt körbeteende visar flera fall av visuell distraktionvid passage av ERS. Effekter på kördata kunde inte påvisas. Resultaten visar också en negativinställning till ERS för en majoritet av förarna.Sammanfattningsvis kan ingen påverkan från ERS på trafiksäkerhet ses på makronivå. Dock måsteeffekterna på visuell distraktion tas i beaktning och undersökas närmare innan det beslutas huruvida ERSblir en verklighet på svenska vägar.

The textile industry is on its early steps towards circular economy. Being a highly resource-intensive and waste-generating industry, it is essential to embrace fiber-to-fiber recycling in addressing the increasing textile waste problem. Several innovative initiatives are happening within this area, not least in the Nordic countries, where automated sorting and fiber-to-fiber recycling technologies and capacities are developing. These large investments require economy of scale; however, this is challenged by the fractioned supply due to the specific fiber requirements of the recycling facilities. To ensure economy of scale and support strategic planning, it is important to investigate the balance of the demand of those capacities with the supply of recyclables generated in the region. Local and regional perspectives are needed in order to avoid unnecessary transportation of low value materials. Based on a synthetises of existing textile flow studies and interviews with relevant actors in four Nordic countries, this study investigates the balance between the supply of recyclable textiles and the sorting and recycling capacity. This is accomplished by estimating the volumes of recyclables and their fiber composition (based on developed weighting average method) and comparing these with the current and upcoming capacities in each country and in the Nordics as a whole. The findings indicate that the upcoming automatic sorting and recycling capacity will be sufficient to deal with the total recyclable fraction in the Nordic region, except for some of the synthetic fibers. However, there are imbalances between supply and demand within individual countries, highlighting opportunities for collaboration.

Under hösten 2021 fick Transportstyrelsen i uppdrag av regeringen att analysera och vid behov lämna förslag till ändrade trafikregler för att andelen trafikanter som reser med cykel ska öka. Mot bakgrund av detta har Transportstyrelsen anlitat VTI, Statens väg- och transportforskningsinstitut för att bistå i arbetet genom att beskriva kunskapsläget utifrån gällande forskning.

Syftet med uppdraget har främst varit att undersöka cyklisters utrymmesbehov i olika trafiksituationer och att ta fram underlag till rekommendationer för utformning av cykelinfrastrukturens bredder. Idag saknas regler eller gemensam byggpraxis för den fysiska utformningen av cykelfält och cykelbanor. Det är istället upp till respektive väghållare att ta fram sina egna typsektioner eller rekommendationer och kontrollera efterlevnaden.

Resultaten i denna rapport baseras på litteraturstudier gällande utformningsstandarder och forskning kring cyklisters utrymmesbehov. Rekommendationer presenteras om minstabredder på cykelbanor och cykelfält beroende på möjlighet till möten och omkörningar, inkluderat dimensionering för lastcyklar, samt trygga avstånd till sidohinder. En ansats till modellstruktur för bedömning av utrymmesbehov vid högre flöden har även tagits fram.

Cykelbanors bredd kan varieras beroende på den önskade dimensionerande trafiksituationen, det vill säga möjligheten att ett visst antal trafikanter ska kunna mötas eller köra om varandra säkert. Utifrån ett underhållsperspektiv är det dock fördelaktigt att anlägga cykelbanor med minst 2,5 meter bredd, oavsett trafiksituationen. Mindre bredd än så kan medföra lägre effektivitet för drift och underhåll med ökade livscykelkostnader som följd.

Projektet syftade till att ta fram en metod för tillämpning av HBEFA på trafikdata från mätningar och dynamiska trafikmodeller på ett sätt som är konsistent med den tillämpning av HBEFA som idag sker med statisk trafikdata. Projektet fokuserade främst på tillämpningar där lokala emissioner från vägtrafik är av intresse. Exempel på sådana tillämpningar är uppföljning, estimering och prediktering av luftkvalitet. Men även analys av förändring av utsläpp från vägtrafiken över tid, samt före/efter studier vid förändringar av trafikinfrastrukturen. 

I HBEFA är skattning av trafiktillstånd centralt för estimering av emissioner. I denna studie har vi studerat och jämfört tre olika sätt att definiera trafiktillståndet i HBEFAs trafiksituationer nämligen baserat på:

• flöde (det som används i nuläget)
• hastighet
• densitet

Flödesbaserade definitioner har en inbyggd begränsning i att de inte entydigt kan beskriva trafiksituationen, då lågt flöde kan innebära både låg trängsel och hög trängsel, beroende på hastighet. Detta är inget problem i nuvarande tillämpning av HBEFA med statisk trafikdata, då en förenklad beskrivning av det överbelastade fallet görs, som tillåter flöden över kapaciteten, men som då representerar en efterfrågan snarare än flöde. Undersökningarna i denna studie indikerar att en hastighetsbaserad definition av trafiktillstånd inte är att föredra då hastigheten kan variera relativt mycket mellan olika fordon och över en sträcka vid liknande flödes- och densitetsförhållanden. Hastighetsbaserade gränser mellan trafiktillstånd blir främst problematiskt vid tillämpning på mätdata. Vid hastighetsbaserade gränser blir varje fordonspassage med låg hastighet automatiskt klassade i ett trafiktillstånd som innebär trängsel. Densitet är ett mer stabilt mått vid liknande trafikförhållanden och kan sägas bättre definiera graden av trängsel i trafikteoretisk mening. 

Driving automation technology is attractive for the road freight transport sector since driverless trucks (DL-trucks) may drastically reduce driver costs, increase truck utilization and improve road safety. Although DL-trucks may bring significant impacts to the transport system, research on the future diffusion and impacts of DL-trucks is scarce compared to passenger transport. In this paper the sociotechnical innovation system developing, diffusing and utilizing DL-trucks in Sweden is analyzed based on the technological innovation systems (TIS) framework. The analysis is based on 20 expert interviews with a total of 23 representatives from 16 actors in the DL-truck TIS in Sweden. The TIS analysis shows that there are significant uncertainties in the timeline, operational capabilities, infrastructure requirements and regulative landscape for a widespread DL-truck deployment. There is a general view among the interviewees that DL-trucks is an important opportunity for Swedish industry and the economy. From a transport system perspective, DL-trucks are expected to bring sustainability benefits but it remains uncertain whether these benefits will be realized and what the negative side effects might be. The development of DL-trucks is heavily influenced by incumbent firms in the truck manufacturing industry but new actors from the telecom sector, energy sector and emerging truck technology companies are entering the area and shaping the development. The current relatively rigid institutions for truck manufacturing and road freight transport will require significant alignment to adapt to DL-truck operations in areas such as laws and regulations, business models and operational practices. The value chain of road freight transport may be disrupted as some of the current key actors, for instance traditional road carriers, could become less relevant in future DL-truck value chains. A critical uncertainty is how and by which actors the setting of requirements, deployment and financing of digital infrastructure for DL-trucks will be done.