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Forecasting the public health effect of a national road safety programme
Swiss Council for Accident Prevention.
2013 (English)In: Proceedings of the 16th International Conference Road Safety on Four Continents: Beijing, China. 15-17 May 2013, Linköping: Statens väg- och transportforskningsinstitut, 2013Conference paper, Published paper (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

A common understanding of evidence-based policy is that any new measures should have been proven to be effective. At best, these kinds of methodologically sound evaluation studies show the effect of a measure in a given situation. The results are then an essential basis for the design of a broader safety policy. However, at present there is generally little understanding of the effect of the measure in another situation, or of how it would interact with other measures in a programme. Yet, it is precisely such questions that need to be answered if the requirements of policy makers are to be met. Politicians need to be able to estimate whether the expected benefits of a programme justify the investment. Therefore, evidence-based road safety policy should not rely solely on evaluation studies of single measures and ex-post assessments of safety programmes. The method outlined here is for the ex-ante estimation of the potential of a road safety programme in reducing the number of severe and fatal injuries, i.e. the most relevant indicator from a public health point of view. Results of a case study show that the potential of the Swiss road safety programme VIA SICURA is 1/3 of fatalities and ¼ of severe injuries referring to 2010.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Linköping: Statens väg- och transportforskningsinstitut, 2013.
Keyword [en]
Planning, Safety, Policy, Method, Evaluation (assessment), Case study, Fatality, Injury
National Category
Public Health, Global Health, Social Medicine and Epidemiology
Research subject
X RSXC; 80 Road: Traffic safety and accidents
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:vti:diva-7297OAI: oai:DiVA.org:vti-7297DiVA: diva2:758317
Conference
16th International Conference Road Safety on Four Continents. Beijing, China (RS4C 2013). 15-17 May 2013
Available from: 2014-10-27 Created: 2014-10-27 Last updated: 2015-03-09Bibliographically approved

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Public Health, Global Health, Social Medicine and Epidemiology

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CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf