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An analysis of urban road traffic safety in the city of Stockholm - the use of aggregate time-series models with the TRIO programme
2001 (English)Report (Other (popular science, discussion, etc.))
Abstract [sv]

There is not one single factor that determines the development of road

accidents. In contrary, there exists a certain "pattern" that helps us to

explain and understand how and why road accidents occur. The traffic

environment is changing all the time and humans adapt to new or altered

circumstances. This study aims at capturing some of these determining factors

and to explain the development of road accidents in a broader perspective.

This DRAG-3 model for the city of Stockholm does not give all the answers.

But, hopefully, it contributes to an enhanced understanding of "why" and "how

much" road accidents occur. In the DRAG-3 Stockholm Study, police-reported

road accidents have been analysed from January 1970 to December 1998, i.e. a

time series period of 348 months. A database of some hundred possible

explanatory variables has been collected, of which some 40 variables are

included in the forecasting model developed within this project.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Statens väg- och transportforskningsinstitut., VTI konferens , 2001.
Series
VTI konferens, ISSN 1104-7267
Keyword [en]
English, Sweden, Conference, South Africa, Accident, Accident, Statistics, Analysis, Cause, Forecast, Exposure, Vehicle kilometer, Injury, Fatality
Research subject
Road: Traffic safety and accidents, Road: Collation of accident statistics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:vti:diva-4965OAI: oai:DiVA.org:vti-4965DiVA: diva2:673794
Available from: 2013-12-03 Created: 2013-12-03 Last updated: 2013-12-03

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CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • harvard1
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf