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Toward Objective Assessment of Simulation Predictive Capability
Saab AB Aeronaut, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-5773-3518
Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute, Traffic and road users, Vehicle Systems and Driving Simulation..ORCID iD: 0000-0002-3120-1361
Linköping University, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-7480-1922
Linköping University, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-2315-0680
2023 (English)In: Journal of Aerospace Information Systems, ISSN 1940-3151, Vol. 20, no 3, p. 152-167Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Two different metrics quantifying model and simulator predictive capability are formulated and evaluated; both metrics exploit results from conducted validation experiments where simulation results are compared to the corresponding measured quantities. The first metric is inspired by the modified nearest neighbor coverage metric and the second by the Kullback-Liebler divergence. The two different metrics are implemented in Python and in a here-developed general metamodel designed to be applicable for most physics-based simulation models. These two implementations together facilitate both offline and online metric evaluation. Additionally, a connection between the two, here separated, concepts of predictive capability and credibility is established and realized in the metamodel. The two implementations are, finally, evaluated in an aeronautical domain context.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics, 2023. Vol. 20, no 3, p. 152-167
National Category
Vehicle and Aerospace Engineering
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:vti:diva-19499DOI: 10.2514/1.I011153ISI: 000914113700001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85149652863OAI: oai:DiVA.org:vti-19499DiVA, id: diva2:1737592
Note

The research was funded by Vinnova and Saab Aeronautics via the two research projects EMBrACE and the NFFP7 project Digital Twin for Automated Model Validation and Flight Test Evaluation. 

Available from: 2023-02-17 Created: 2023-02-17 Last updated: 2025-02-14Bibliographically approved

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Eek, Magnus

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