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Estimating preferred departure times of road users in a large urban network
Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute, Society, environment and transport, Traffic analysis and logistics. Kungliga Tekniska Högskolan.
Kungliga Tekniska Högskolan.
2016 (English)In: Transportation, ISSN 0049-4488, E-ISSN 1572-9435, 1-21 p.Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

In order to reliably predict and assess effects of congestion charges and other congestion mitigating measures, a transportation model including dynamic assignment and departure time choice is important.

This paper presents a transport model that incorporates departure time choice for analysis of road users’ temporal adjustments and uses a mesoscopic traffic simulation model to capture the dynamic nature of congestion.Departure time choice modelling relies heavily on car users’ preferred times of travel and without knowledge of these no meaningful conclusions can be drawn from application of the model.

This paper shows how preferred times of travel can be consistently derived from field observations and conditional probabilities of departure times using a reverse engineering approach. It is also shown how aggregation of origin–destination pairs with similar preferred departure time profiles can solve the problem of negative solutions resulting from the reverse engineering equation. The method is shown to work well for large-scale applications and results are given for the network of Stockholm.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2016. 1-21 p.
Keyword [en]
Mathematical model, Time, Origin (traffic), Congestion, Dynamics, Probability
National Category
Transport Systems and Logistics
Research subject
20 Road: Traffic engineering, 22 Road: Traffic control and traffic information
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:vti:diva-11437DOI: 10.1007/s11116-016-9750-2ScopusID: 2-s2.0-85000932393OAI: oai:DiVA.org:vti-11437DiVA: diva2:1065752
Available from: 2017-01-16 Created: 2017-01-16 Last updated: 2017-01-24Bibliographically approved

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CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • harvard1
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf